Polymarket withholds payouts as debate erupts over definition of Venezuela ‘invasion’
Polymarket is reportedly refusing to pay out on bets related to whether the U.S. military will invade Venezuela, citing discrepancies in terminology. The operator is currently disputing the mission to capture the former president, Nicolas Maduro, who represented an invasion of Venezuela, and the company will only settle a contract if the military actually takes control of the country. One successful trader won $400,000 following Maduro’s capture after betting more than $32,000 that the former president would be removed from power by the end of January. This was trading at an average of 7 cents before the market eventually paid out at 100 cents when he was flown out of the country. As such, the mystery trader won $400,000, but there is controversy surrounding the bet regarding the definition of “invade.” Polymarket states that it will resolve the “Will the US invade Venezuela by . . .?” prediction contract if the country “commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela” by one of three dates. Because it didn't happen. There is no scam …






