All posts tagged: ADP

ADP Signals Best Job Gains In Almost 4 Months, As BLS Payrolls Plunged

ADP Signals Best Job Gains In Almost 4 Months, As BLS Payrolls Plunged

For the four weeks ending February 21, 2026, ADP reports that private employers added an average of 15,500 jobs a week.  Employment gains reached their highest since Thanksgiving week last year, holding steady in February after five straight weeks of strengthening.  This positive labor market signal stands in the face of last week’s surprised plunge in non-farm payrolls – driven by a strike-triggered drop in Healthcare jobs and a huge revisions in the labor force as native workers suddenly disappeared. Combined with the ongoing strength of the jobless claims data, once could argue that the ‘no hire, no fire’ economy is edging back towards jobs growth. Source link

ADP Private Payrolls Rebound But Miss Estimates After California Jobs Tumble

ADP Private Payrolls Rebound But Miss Estimates After California Jobs Tumble

One month after ADP reported a dismal -29K private payrolls print for November, tied for the worst month since March 2023, and just in time to validate the Fed’s latest rate cut, moments ago ADP reported that in December, the US added 41K payrolls, which while a solid jump from last month’s -29K, missed consensus estimates of a +50K print.  The breakdown showed continued weakness in manufacturing jobs, which shrank by 3K in December, offset by a 44K increase in Service jobs, despite another notable drop in Information (-12K) and Professional/Business services (-29K) jobs. Also notable is that all the weakness was in the Western region (read California) where 61K jobs were lost, while a breakdown of establishments by size saw solid hiring by small and medium companies, offset by a modest 2K increase amid Large companies. “Small establishments recovered from November job losses with positive end-of-year hiring, even as large employers pulled back,” said ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. There was more good news for the Trump admin which appears to have halted the …

ADP Weekly Employment Report Signals Weakening Labor Market In November

ADP Weekly Employment Report Signals Weakening Labor Market In November

ADP Weekly Employment Report Signals Weakening Labor Market In November For the four weeks ending Nov. 8, 2025, ADP reports that private employers shed an average of 13,500 jobs a week, considerably worse than than the last couple of weeks. That is the worst ‘monthly’ average since August “Consumer strength remains in question as we enter the holiday hiring season,” says Nela Richardson of ADP, adding that “might be playing into delayed or curtailed job creation.” This is certainly not good news, but it does shift the dove/hawk argument at The Fed to pro-cut side and we see odds rise for December… Is this bad news good enough to support the Santa Claus Rally? Tyler Durden Tue, 11/25/2025 – 08:26 Source link