An unpredictable childhood predicts greater psychological distress during the Israel-Hamas war
A study conducted in Israel during the 2023 war with Hamas found that individuals reporting greater early-life unpredictability tended to experience a greater increase in psychological distress during the war. They also tended to have greater psychological distress and emotion dysregulation before the war started. The paper was published in the Journal of Affective Disorders. Early-life unpredictability is the degree to which a child’s environment is unstable, inconsistent, or difficult to predict over time. It includes experiences such as frequent changes in caregivers, household chaos, inconsistent routines, or sudden shifts in resources and safety. Unlike simple deprivation, unpredictability is about variability rather than just a lack of input or support. Research in developmental psychology shows that children are highly sensitive not only to what they receive but also to how stable those conditions are. High unpredictability can shape cognitive and emotional development, especially systems related to learning, stress, and decision-making. For example, children in unpredictable environments may become more vigilant and reactive to potential threats. They may also prioritize short-term rewards over long-term planning, which …









