Musk says Tesla FSD v15 will ‘far exceed’ human safety — he said the same about v12 and v14
Elon Musk is once again promising that the next version of Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” software will “far exceed human levels of safety.” This time it’s V15. The problem is that he made virtually identical claims about Version 12 in 2023 and V14 in 2025 — and neither came close to delivering. Musk posted the claim today in response to a user’s detailed review of FSD v14.3 after 600+ miles of testing. He acknowledged that “point releases will bring polish” to the current version before projecting that V15, the next major release, will achieve what every previous version was supposed to achieve. The pattern: every version is ‘the one’ Here’s the timeline of Musk tying specific FSD version numbers to claims of superhuman safety, taken directly from his posts on X: November 2023 — Version 12: Musk wrote that “Supervised FSD is vastly safer than human driving” and that “Version 12 (end-to-end neural nets) will far exceed human safety even when unsupervised.” Version 12 shipped. It did not far exceed human safety. It remained a supervised …



