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California Knife Fight: These Democrats Are Vying for Swalwell’s Voters

California Knife Fight: These Democrats Are Vying for Swalwell’s Voters


For Eric Swalwell, a cable host saying “Trump” was like a Bat-Signal—he’d appear on CNN within minutes. But now the ubiquitous surrogate has resigned from office and suspended his gubernatorial campaign—blowing the California governor’s race wide open.

One California campaign staffer told me that the state’s primary race had seemed “structurally locked.” The endorsements had been lined up; the ideological lanes had been mostly defined. But now that sexual assault allegations have sunk Swalwell’s candidacy and career, everything’s in flux. Some operatives say the allegations were shocking in their scale, but didn’t come entirely out of left field—rumors about Swalwell’s behavior had quietly circulated in political circles for years. Even so, his campaign’s sudden collapse has stranded a significant coalition: labor groups, donors, campaign staff, and a chunk of Democratic voters who had gravitated toward his anti-Trump persona.

Every other California gubernatorial candidate is left to fight over the scraps, while voters and some political operatives have a dim view of the remaining field. One of them voiced their concerns in a phone conversation Tuesday, wondering aloud, “This is the best we got?”

Across the state, politicians and organizations that once backed Swalwell are scrambling to hit reset. Over 20 Democratic members of Congress, including his fellow Californian Adam Schiff, pulled their previous endorsements of Swalwell, who resigned his seat in the lower chamber on Tuesday. The California Federation of Labor Unions, the California Medical Association, the California Teachers Association, and the Service Employees International Union of California all rescinded their support—which goes a long way in a largely unionized state. A representative of one major industry group told Vanity Fair about a tense conversation they had with the disgraced politician last week, in which they asked him directly whether he’s raped any women. Swalwell denied the allegations, only to drop out of the race shortly after, leaving the group’s endorsement up for grabs.

The team behind Katie Porter believes that this is the former congresswoman’s moment. Porter and Swalwell occupied a similar progressive lane; now, his former supporters seem ideologically primed to back her. In a memo sent to allies Saturday, the Porter campaign said an internal poll showed that 46% of Swalwell voters had listed her as their second choice, compared to just 14% for fellow Democratic candidate Tom Steyer. The Porter campaign also argues that she is basically tied with Steyer in the polls despite relying only on earned media—meaning she’s got more room to grow.

“Katie has consistently stood at the top of the field since day one without spending a dime on paid advertising,” Porter spokesman Peter Opitz told Vanity Fair Tuesday. “While billionaires try to buy this election, Katie has one focus: making California more affordable.”



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