Europe’s coming energy crunch – POLITICO
“Markets are now grappling with a scenario long discussed in theory but rarely thought of as a legitimate possibility — the effective shutdown of the world’s most critical energy chokepoint,” said Ana Maria Jaller-Makarewicz, lead energy analyst for the Europe team at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. While the 1970s crises knocked out 7 percent of global supplies, she said, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz affects 20 percent. U.S. President Donald Trump exits Air Force One on March 29 at Joint Air Base Andrews, Maryland. | Nathan Howard/Getty Images When the war first broke out, EU officials hoped the bloc would be spared from serious shortages thanks to its relatively low exposure to the Persian Gulf, which it relied on for just 6 percent of its crude oil and under 10 percent of its natural gas. The biggest risk articulated in countless ministerial and technical meetings was higher prices. Europe’s security of supply was rarely questioned, with officials pointing to the continent’s diversified sources beyond the Persian Gulf: the U.S., …









